FrançaisAre analysts right about Ventas (VTR)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Ventas, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 31% were profitable, average return +3% (138 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (40% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | 20 | 40% | +14% |
| RBC Capital | 18 | 33% | +5% |
| Jefferies | 10 | 20% | -11% |
| Mizuho | 10 | 40% | +8% |
| Keybanc | 9 | 0% | -13% |
Valuation
Is Ventas overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Ventas right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Ventas's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Ventas | Sector median (Real Estate) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 168.9 | 29.5 |
| Forward P/E | 101.5 | 34.2 |
| Net margin | 4% | 25% |
👉 Ventas trades above its sector median (168.9 vs 29.5) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Ventas pays about $2.00/share/yr → 2.23% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Ventas a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Ventas (VTR) is "Buy" (27 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 31% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Ventas's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $99.00 (+7% vs $92.89), ranging from $88.00 to $110 (13 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Ventas?
Over 1 year, 31% of analyst targets on Ventas were profitable, for an average return of +3% (across 138 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Ventas stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $99.00 within 12 months, i.e. +7% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $110, the most cautious $88.00.
What is the Ventas stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $99.00, +7%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (31%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Ventas overvalued?
Its P/E is 168.9, forward P/E 101.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Ventas →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.