FrançaisAre analysts right about Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Arbor Realty Trust, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 34% were profitable, average return +12% (59 calls). At 3 months: +5% average return (51% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMP Securities | 18 | 11% | -2% |
| Raymond James | 14 | 36% | +23% |
| JP Morgan | 11 | 82% | +29% |
| Piper Sandler | 6 | 50% | +15% |
Frequently asked questions
Is Arbor Realty Trust a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is "Sell" (2 bullish, 12 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 34% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Arbor Realty Trust's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $3.50 (+16% vs $3.02), ranging from $3.00 to $5.50 (3 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Arbor Realty Trust?
Over 1 year, 34% of analyst targets on Arbor Realty Trust were profitable, for an average return of +12% (across 59 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Arbor Realty Trust stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $3.50 within 12 months, i.e. +16% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $5.50, the most cautious $3.00.
What is the Arbor Realty Trust stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $3.50, +16%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (34%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Arbor Realty Trust overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for Arbor Realty Trust is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Arbor Realty Trust →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.