FrançaisAre analysts right about Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Assured Guaranty Ltd., we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 30% were profitable, average return +11% (20 calls). At 3 months: +0% average return (30% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | 6 | 33% | +10% |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 5 | 20% | +7% |
Frequently asked questions
Is Assured Guaranty Ltd. a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) is "Buy" (5 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 30% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s price target?
The median 12-month price target is $95.50 (+26% vs $75.84), ranging from $94.00 to $97.00 (2 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Assured Guaranty Ltd.?
Over 1 year, 30% of analyst targets on Assured Guaranty Ltd. were profitable, for an average return of +11% (across 20 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $95.50 within 12 months, i.e. +26% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $97.00, the most cautious $94.00.
What is the Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $95.50, +26%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (30%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Assured Guaranty Ltd. overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for Assured Guaranty Ltd. is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Assured Guaranty Ltd. →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.