FrançaisAre analysts right about Atmos Energy (ATO)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Atmos Energy, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 37% were profitable, average return +9% (119 calls). At 3 months: +2% average return (37% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 56 | 32% | +8% |
| JP Morgan | 17 | 47% | +16% |
| Mizuho | 11 | 64% | +16% |
| Wells Fargo | 9 | 33% | +10% |
| B of A Securities | 6 | 50% | +10% |
Valuation
Is Atmos Energy overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Atmos Energy right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Atmos Energy's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Atmos Energy | Sector median (Utilities) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.9 | 20.9 |
| Forward P/E | 18.5 | 16.9 |
| Net margin | 28% | 14% |
👉 Atmos Energy is valued in line with its sector (19.9 vs 20.9).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Atmos Energy pays about $3.87/share/yr → 2.24% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Atmos Energy a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Atmos Energy (ATO) is "Hold" (5 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 37% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Atmos Energy's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $190 (+14% vs $167), ranging from $179 to $200 (9 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Atmos Energy?
Over 1 year, 37% of analyst targets on Atmos Energy were profitable, for an average return of +9% (across 119 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Atmos Energy stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $190 within 12 months, i.e. +14% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $200, the most cautious $179.
What is the Atmos Energy stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $190, +14%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (37%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Atmos Energy overvalued?
Its P/E is 19.9, forward P/E 18.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Atmos Energy →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.