FrançaisAre analysts right about CF Industries (CF)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For CF Industries, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 29% were profitable, average return +5% (154 calls). At 3 months: +0% average return (34% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| B of A Securities | 14 | 29% | -2% |
| Barclays | 14 | 29% | -2% |
| Credit Suisse | 14 | 36% | +13% |
| UBS | 14 | 36% | +13% |
| RBC Capital | 13 | 8% | -4% |
Valuation
Is CF Industries overvalued, and is it a good time to buy CF Industries right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: CF Industries's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | CF Industries | Sector median (Materials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 9.3 | 23.4 |
| Forward P/E | 12.0 | 15.9 |
| Net margin | 27% | 8% |
👉 CF Industries trades below its sector median (9.3 vs 23.4) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : CF Industries pays about $2.00/share/yr → 1.85% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is CF Industries a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on CF Industries (CF) is "Hold" (10 bullish, 4 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 29% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is CF Industries's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $126 (-0% vs $126), ranging from $103 to $150 (12 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on CF Industries?
Over 1 year, 29% of analyst targets on CF Industries were profitable, for an average return of +5% (across 154 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the CF Industries stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $126 within 12 months, i.e. -0% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $150, the most cautious $103.
What is the CF Industries stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $126, -0%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (29%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is CF Industries overvalued?
Its P/E is 9.3, forward P/E 12.0. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of CF Industries →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.