FrançaisAre analysts right about Essex Property Trust (ESS)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Essex Property Trust, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 28% were profitable, average return +2% (188 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (36% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | 22 | 46% | +10% |
| RBC Capital | 16 | 25% | +3% |
| Piper Sandler | 15 | 27% | +4% |
| Keybanc | 13 | 15% | -10% |
| Mizuho | 11 | 9% | -3% |
Valuation
Is Essex Property Trust overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Essex Property Trust right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Essex Property Trust's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Essex Property Trust | Sector median (Real Estate) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 44.8 | 29.5 |
| Forward P/E | 45.5 | 34.2 |
| Net margin | 21% | 25% |
👉 Essex Property Trust trades above its sector median (44.8 vs 29.5) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Essex Property Trust pays about $10.32/share/yr → 3.50% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Essex Property Trust a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Essex Property Trust (ESS) is "Hold" (20 bullish, 2 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 28% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Essex Property Trust's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $302 (+8% vs $281), ranging from $278 to $352 (16 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Essex Property Trust?
Over 1 year, 28% of analyst targets on Essex Property Trust were profitable, for an average return of +2% (across 188 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Essex Property Trust stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $302 within 12 months, i.e. +8% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $352, the most cautious $278.
What is the Essex Property Trust stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $302, +8%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (28%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Essex Property Trust overvalued?
Its P/E is 44.8, forward P/E 45.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Essex Property Trust →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.