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Are analysts right about Expeditors International (EXPD)?

Industrials Β· price $191 Β· median target $176 (-8%)
In short β€” Over the past 12 months, 8% of analyst price targets on Expeditors International turned out profitable, for an average return of -7% (across 76 timestamped calls). The current consensus is "Hold" with a median price target of $176 (-8% vs the current $191, from 8 analysts).

πŸ“ˆ See the interactive version (live chart) β†’

πŸ”— Related pages on Expeditors International β€” Financials & fundamentals  Β·  If I had invested  Β·  Dividend
Current price
$191
Median target (12 mo)
$176 -8%
Analyst accuracy (1 yr)
8%
Avg return / call (1 yr)
-7%
πŸ’° Performance & Β« if I invested Β» πŸ“Š Interactive analysis

Historical analyst accuracy

For Expeditors International, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 8% were profitable, average return -7% (76 calls). At 3 months: -2% average return (26% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.

Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)

Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β€” not a forecast of what will happen.

Analyst / brokerCalls i% profitable iAvg return i
Barclays1513%-5%
Credit Suisse130%-14%
Morgan Stanley100%-7%
JP Morgan70%-7%
UBS60%-27%

Valuation

Is Expeditors International overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Expeditors International right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Expeditors International's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.

The P/E (price Γ· earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects β€” but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.

MetricExpeditors InternationalSector median (Industrials)
P/E27.729.2
Forward P/E24.119.5
Net margin8%11%

πŸ‘‰ Expeditors International is valued in line with its sector (27.7 vs 29.2).

πŸ“– P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary

πŸ’΅ Dividend : Expeditors International pays about $1.58/share/yr β†’ 0.95% yield. what is this?

Frequently asked questions

Is Expeditors International a buy right now?

The analyst consensus on Expeditors International (EXPD) is "Hold" (5 bullish, 10 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 8% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.

What is Expeditors International's price target?

The median 12-month price target is $176 (-8% vs $191), ranging from $156 to $210 (8 analysts).

Are analysts accurate on Expeditors International?

Over 1 year, 8% of analyst targets on Expeditors International were profitable, for an average return of -7% (across 76 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.

What is the Expeditors International stock forecast?

Analysts target a median of $176 within 12 months, i.e. -8% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $210, the most cautious $156.

What is the Expeditors International stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?

Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $176, -8%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (8%), and the stock's past trajectory.

Is Expeditors International overvalued?

Its P/E is 27.7, forward P/E 24.1. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.

πŸ“Š See the full interactive analysis of Expeditors International β†’

What is JPI Invest?

JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β€” on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.

Explore JPI Invest for free β†’ How it works: the method β†’

⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.