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For Lincoln Financial, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 28% were profitable, average return +5% (88 calls). At 3 months: +2% average return (37% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 23 | 44% | +18% |
| Barclays | 10 | 30% | +4% |
| Goldman Sachs | 8 | 12% | -7% |
| JP Morgan | 7 | 0% | -24% |
| B of A Securities | 6 | 50% | +29% |
The analyst consensus on Lincoln Financial (LNC) is "Hold" (20 bullish, 3 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 28% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
The median 12-month price target is $47.00 (+8% vs $43.51), ranging from $37.00 to $57.00 (11 analysts).
Over 1 year, 28% of analyst targets on Lincoln Financial were profitable, for an average return of +5% (across 88 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
Analysts target a median of $47.00 within 12 months, i.e. +8% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $57.00, the most cautious $37.00.
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $47.00, +8%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (28%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Detailed valuation data for Lincoln Financial is available in the interactive analysis.
π See the full interactive analysis of Lincoln Financial β
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
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β οΈ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.