FrançaisAre analysts right about Marriott International (MAR)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Marriott International, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 56% were profitable, average return +21% (119 calls). At 3 months: +6% average return (54% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 16 | 81% | +32% |
| Nomura | 8 | 75% | +41% |
| Barclays | 8 | 75% | +28% |
| Wells Fargo | 8 | 62% | +26% |
| Evercore ISI Group | 7 | 43% | +17% |
Valuation
Is Marriott International overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Marriott International right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Marriott International's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Marriott International | Sector median (Consumer Discretionary) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 36.7 | 19.9 |
| Forward P/E | 26.9 | 14.4 |
| Net margin | 35% | 9% |
👉 Marriott International trades above its sector median (36.7 vs 19.9) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Marriott International pays about $2.74/share/yr → 0.74% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Marriott International a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Marriott International (MAR) is "Hold" (23 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 56% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Marriott International's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $393 (+11% vs $354), ranging from $348 to $425 (15 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Marriott International?
Over 1 year, 56% of analyst targets on Marriott International were profitable, for an average return of +21% (across 119 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Marriott International stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $393 within 12 months, i.e. +11% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $425, the most cautious $348.
What is the Marriott International stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $393, +11%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (56%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Marriott International overvalued?
Its P/E is 36.7, forward P/E 26.9. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Marriott International →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.