FrançaisAre analysts right about J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For J.M. Smucker Company (The), we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 24% were profitable, average return +3% (132 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (32% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 21 | 10% | -3% |
| Citigroup | 16 | 19% | +0% |
| Deutsche Bank | 14 | 29% | +11% |
| JP Morgan | 12 | 50% | +15% |
| UBS | 9 | 33% | +4% |
Valuation
Is J.M. Smucker Company (The) overvalued, and is it a good time to buy J.M. Smucker Company (The) right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: J.M. Smucker Company (The)'s valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | J.M. Smucker Company (The) | Sector median (Consumer Staples) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 61.3 | 24.4 |
| Forward P/E | 12.1 | 15.6 |
| Net margin | 3% | 7% |
👉 J.M. Smucker Company (The) trades above its sector median (61.3 vs 24.4) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : J.M. Smucker Company (The) pays about $4.40/share/yr → 3.83% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is J.M. Smucker Company (The) a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM) is "Buy" (24 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 24% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is J.M. Smucker Company (The)'s price target?
The median 12-month price target is $127 (-4% vs $132), ranging from $97.00 to $142 (14 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on J.M. Smucker Company (The)?
Over 1 year, 24% of analyst targets on J.M. Smucker Company (The) were profitable, for an average return of +3% (across 132 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the J.M. Smucker Company (The) stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $127 within 12 months, i.e. -4% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $142, the most cautious $97.00.
What is the J.M. Smucker Company (The) stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $127, -4%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (24%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is J.M. Smucker Company (The) overvalued?
Its P/E is 61.3, forward P/E 12.1. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of J.M. Smucker Company (The) →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.