FrançaisAre analysts right about Tractor Supply (TSCO)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Tractor Supply, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 43% were profitable, average return +15% (296 calls). At 3 months: +2% average return (38% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telsey Advisory Group | 34 | 24% | +1% |
| Piper Sandler | 28 | 50% | +19% |
| Wells Fargo | 26 | 54% | +21% |
| Truist Securities | 20 | 35% | +9% |
| Raymond James | 18 | 50% | +13% |
Valuation
Is Tractor Supply overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Tractor Supply right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Tractor Supply's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Tractor Supply | Sector median (Consumer Discretionary) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.3 | 19.9 |
| Forward P/E | 16.9 | 14.4 |
| Net margin | 6% | 9% |
👉 Tractor Supply is valued in line with its sector (18.3 vs 19.9).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Tractor Supply pays about $0.94/share/yr → 2.91% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Tractor Supply a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Tractor Supply (TSCO) is "Buy" (45 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 43% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Tractor Supply's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $38.00 (+10% vs $34.70), ranging from $28.00 to $46.00 (17 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Tractor Supply?
Over 1 year, 43% of analyst targets on Tractor Supply were profitable, for an average return of +15% (across 296 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Tractor Supply stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $38.00 within 12 months, i.e. +10% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $46.00, the most cautious $28.00.
What is the Tractor Supply stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $38.00, +10%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (43%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Tractor Supply overvalued?
Its P/E is 18.3, forward P/E 16.9. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Tractor Supply →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.