FrançaisAre analysts right about American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For American Eagle Outfitters, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 31% were profitable, average return +8% (143 calls). At 3 months: +2% average return (38% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | 17 | 41% | -2% |
| Morgan Stanley | 12 | 42% | -26% |
| UBS | 12 | 50% | +53% |
| Deutsche Bank | 9 | 44% | +37% |
| Jefferies | 8 | 25% | -7% |
Frequently asked questions
Is American Eagle Outfitters a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is "Hold" (5 bullish, 6 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 31% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is American Eagle Outfitters's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $18.00 (+8% vs $16.69), ranging from $16.00 to $31.00 (7 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on American Eagle Outfitters?
Over 1 year, 31% of analyst targets on American Eagle Outfitters were profitable, for an average return of +8% (across 143 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the American Eagle Outfitters stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $18.00 within 12 months, i.e. +8% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $31.00, the most cautious $16.00.
What is the American Eagle Outfitters stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $18.00, +8%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (31%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is American Eagle Outfitters overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for American Eagle Outfitters is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of American Eagle Outfitters →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.