FrançaisAre analysts right about Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Abercrombie & Fitch, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 30% were profitable, average return +16% (173 calls). At 3 months: +5% average return (47% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telsey Advisory Group | 39 | 49% | +97% |
| Jefferies | 16 | 25% | +19% |
| Morgan Stanley | 16 | 25% | -107% |
| JP Morgan | 11 | 27% | -8% |
| UBS | 7 | 14% | -2% |
Valuation
Is Abercrombie & Fitch overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Abercrombie & Fitch right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Abercrombie & Fitch's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Abercrombie & Fitch | Sector median (Consumer Discretionary) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.8 | 19.9 |
| Forward P/E | 11.4 | 14.4 |
| Net margin | 10% | 9% |
👉 Abercrombie & Fitch trades below its sector median (12.8 vs 19.9) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is Abercrombie & Fitch a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is "Buy" (30 bullish, 2 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 30% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Abercrombie & Fitch's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $120 (-18% vs $146), ranging from $108 to $153 (7 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Abercrombie & Fitch?
Over 1 year, 30% of analyst targets on Abercrombie & Fitch were profitable, for an average return of +16% (across 173 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Abercrombie & Fitch stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $120 within 12 months, i.e. -18% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $153, the most cautious $108.
What is the Abercrombie & Fitch stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $120, -18%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (30%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Abercrombie & Fitch overvalued?
Its P/E is 12.8, forward P/E 11.4. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Abercrombie & Fitch →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.