FrançaisAre analysts right about American Homes 4 Rent (AMH)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For American Homes 4 Rent, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 19% were profitable, average return +3% (104 calls). At 3 months: +0% average return (32% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | 15 | 27% | +6% |
| RBC Capital | 12 | 25% | -1% |
| Mizuho | 11 | 27% | +6% |
| Barclays | 8 | 12% | +4% |
| JP Morgan | 6 | 17% | +2% |
Valuation
Is American Homes 4 Rent overvalued, and is it a good time to buy American Homes 4 Rent right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: American Homes 4 Rent's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | American Homes 4 Rent | Sector median (Real Estate) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.2 | 29.5 |
| Forward P/E | 51.5 | 34.2 |
| Net margin | 26% | 25% |
👉 American Homes 4 Rent is valued in line with its sector (27.2 vs 29.5).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : American Homes 4 Rent pays about $1.26/share/yr → 3.74% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is American Homes 4 Rent a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) is "Buy" (27 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 19% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is American Homes 4 Rent's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $37.00 (+11% vs $33.44), ranging from $30.00 to $39.00 (15 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on American Homes 4 Rent?
Over 1 year, 19% of analyst targets on American Homes 4 Rent were profitable, for an average return of +3% (across 104 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the American Homes 4 Rent stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $37.00 within 12 months, i.e. +11% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $39.00, the most cautious $30.00.
What is the American Homes 4 Rent stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $37.00, +11%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (19%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is American Homes 4 Rent overvalued?
Its P/E is 27.2, forward P/E 51.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of American Homes 4 Rent →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.