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For Century Aluminum Company, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 36% were profitable, average return -7% (52 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (48% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Riley Securities | 12 | 58% | +32% |
| JP Morgan | 9 | 44% | -11% |
| BMO Capital | 7 | 29% | +17% |
| Deutsche Bank | 7 | 14% | -40% |
The analyst consensus on Century Aluminum Company (CENX) is "Buy" (15 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 36% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
The median 12-month price target is $74.00 (+61% vs $45.89), ranging from $60.00 to $79.00 (3 analysts).
Over 1 year, 36% of analyst targets on Century Aluminum Company were profitable, for an average return of -7% (across 52 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
Analysts target a median of $74.00 within 12 months, i.e. +61% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $79.00, the most cautious $60.00.
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $74.00, +61%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (36%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Detailed valuation data for Century Aluminum Company is available in the interactive analysis.
π See the full interactive analysis of Century Aluminum Company β
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
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β οΈ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.