FranΓ§aisπ See the interactive version (live chart) β
For Medpace, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 52% were profitable, average return +8% (48 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (34% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Suisse | 10 | 60% | +31% |
| Baird | 8 | 50% | -11% |
| UBS | 5 | 0% | -27% |
| William Blair | 5 | 80% | +35% |
Is Medpace overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Medpace right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Medpace's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price Γ· earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects β but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Medpace | Sector median (Health Care) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 35.9 | 29.4 |
| Forward P/E | 31.7 | 17.1 |
| Net margin | 18% | 12% |
π Medpace trades above its sector median (35.9 vs 29.4) β the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
π P/E, PEG, marginβ¦: see the glossary
The analyst consensus on Medpace (MEDP) is "Hold" (9 bullish, 5 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 52% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
The median 12-month price target is $604 (-1% vs $612), ranging from $450 to $692 (8 analysts).
Over 1 year, 52% of analyst targets on Medpace were profitable, for an average return of +8% (across 48 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
Analysts target a median of $604 within 12 months, i.e. -1% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $692, the most cautious $450.
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $604, -1%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (52%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Its P/E is 35.9, forward P/E 31.7. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
π See the full interactive analysis of Medpace β
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
Explore JPI Invest for free β How it works: the method β
β οΈ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.