FrançaisAre analysts right about Annaly Capital Management (NLY)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Annaly Capital Management, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 20% were profitable, average return +6% (41 calls). At 3 months: +2% average return (30% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | 10 | 20% | +6% |
| JP Morgan | 7 | 29% | +11% |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 7 | 29% | +5% |
| Jones Trading | 6 | 17% | +10% |
Valuation
Is Annaly Capital Management overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Annaly Capital Management right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Annaly Capital Management's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Annaly Capital Management | Sector median (Financials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 5.6 | 14.0 |
| Forward P/E | 7.4 | 11.1 |
| Net margin | 91% | 24% |
👉 Annaly Capital Management trades below its sector median (5.6 vs 14.0) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Annaly Capital Management pays about $2.85/share/yr → 12.84% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Annaly Capital Management a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is "Buy" (20 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 20% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Annaly Capital Management's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $24.50 (+6% vs $23.06), ranging from $23.00 to $25.00 (6 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Annaly Capital Management?
Over 1 year, 20% of analyst targets on Annaly Capital Management were profitable, for an average return of +6% (across 41 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Annaly Capital Management stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $24.50 within 12 months, i.e. +6% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $25.00, the most cautious $23.00.
What is the Annaly Capital Management stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $24.50, +6%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (20%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Annaly Capital Management overvalued?
Its P/E is 5.6, forward P/E 7.4. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Annaly Capital Management →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.