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For NMI Holdings, Inc., we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 55% were profitable, average return +23% (74 calls). At 3 months: +7% average return (57% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | 14 | 57% | +20% |
| B. Riley Securities | 9 | 78% | +48% |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 8 | 50% | +40% |
| Barclays | 8 | 25% | -3% |
| Compass Point | 6 | 33% | +6% |
The analyst consensus on NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) is "Buy" (12 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 55% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
The median 12-month price target is $47.00 (+5% vs $44.80), ranging from $43.00 to $51.00 (5 analysts).
Over 1 year, 55% of analyst targets on NMI Holdings, Inc. were profitable, for an average return of +23% (across 74 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
Analysts target a median of $47.00 within 12 months, i.e. +5% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $51.00, the most cautious $43.00.
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $47.00, +5%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (55%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Detailed valuation data for NMI Holdings, Inc. is available in the interactive analysis.
π See the full interactive analysis of NMI Holdings, Inc. β
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
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β οΈ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.