FrançaisAre analysts right about O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For O’Reilly Automotive, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 62% were profitable, average return +21% (214 calls). At 3 months: +4% average return (40% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | 29 | 66% | +26% |
| UBS | 22 | 59% | +24% |
| Truist Securities | 16 | 75% | +22% |
| RBC Capital | 15 | 73% | +23% |
| Evercore ISI Group | 15 | 80% | +22% |
Valuation
Is O’Reilly Automotive overvalued, and is it a good time to buy O’Reilly Automotive right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: O’Reilly Automotive's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | O’Reilly Automotive | Sector median (Consumer Discretionary) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.0 | 19.3 |
| Forward P/E | 24.1 | 15.3 |
| Net margin | 14% | 9% |
👉 O’Reilly Automotive trades above its sector median (27.0 vs 19.3) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is O’Reilly Automotive a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is "Buy" (30 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 62% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is O’Reilly Automotive's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $109 (+24% vs $88.07), ranging from $94.00 to $111 (8 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on O’Reilly Automotive?
Over 1 year, 62% of analyst targets on O’Reilly Automotive were profitable, for an average return of +21% (across 214 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the O’Reilly Automotive stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $109 within 12 months, i.e. +24% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $111, the most cautious $94.00.
What is the O’Reilly Automotive stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $109, +24%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (62%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is O’Reilly Automotive overvalued?
Its P/E is 27.0, forward P/E 24.1. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of O’Reilly Automotive →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.