FrançaisAre analysts right about Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Sprouts Farmers Market, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 26% were profitable, average return -5% (113 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (43% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deutsche Bank | 18 | 33% | +11% |
| Goldman Sachs | 13 | 38% | +36% |
| B of A Securities | 12 | 33% | -2% |
| Evercore ISI Group | 9 | 11% | -55% |
| Wells Fargo | 7 | 0% | -46% |
Valuation
Is Sprouts Farmers Market overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Sprouts Farmers Market right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Sprouts Farmers Market's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Sprouts Farmers Market | Sector median (Consumer Staples) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 15.5 | 24.4 |
| Forward P/E | 13.6 | 15.6 |
| Net margin | 6% | 7% |
👉 Sprouts Farmers Market trades below its sector median (15.5 vs 24.4) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is Sprouts Farmers Market a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) is "Buy" (25 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 26% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Sprouts Farmers Market's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $96.50 (+19% vs $81.04), ranging from $86.00 to $114 (4 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Sprouts Farmers Market?
Over 1 year, 26% of analyst targets on Sprouts Farmers Market were profitable, for an average return of -5% (across 113 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Sprouts Farmers Market stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $96.50 within 12 months, i.e. +19% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $114, the most cautious $86.00.
What is the Sprouts Farmers Market stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $96.50, +19%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (26%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Sprouts Farmers Market overvalued?
Its P/E is 15.5, forward P/E 13.6. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Sprouts Farmers Market →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.