FrançaisAre analysts right about Warner Music Group (WMG)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Warner Music Group, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 24% were profitable, average return +2% (85 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (30% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 15 | 13% | +4% |
| Guggenheim | 9 | 22% | -3% |
| Credit Suisse | 7 | 29% | -4% |
| JP Morgan | 7 | 29% | +2% |
| Truist Securities | 5 | 20% | +7% |
Valuation
Is Warner Music Group overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Warner Music Group right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Warner Music Group's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Warner Music Group | Sector median (Communication Services) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 24.4 | 19.6 |
| Forward P/E | 15.5 | 13.9 |
| Net margin | 9% | 10% |
👉 Warner Music Group trades above its sector median (24.4 vs 19.6) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Warner Music Group pays about $0.76/share/yr → 2.74% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Warner Music Group a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Warner Music Group (WMG) is "Buy" (14 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 24% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Warner Music Group's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $43.00 (+41% vs $30.47), ranging from $36.00 to $43.00 (5 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Warner Music Group?
Over 1 year, 24% of analyst targets on Warner Music Group were profitable, for an average return of +2% (across 85 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Warner Music Group stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $43.00 within 12 months, i.e. +41% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $43.00, the most cautious $36.00.
What is the Warner Music Group stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $43.00, +41%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (24%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Warner Music Group overvalued?
Its P/E is 24.4, forward P/E 15.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Warner Music Group →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.